Yes, But Was He Comfortable Using The Word?
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Obama honors entertainers as 'heroes': President Barack Obama gave the
United States' top civilian honor on Tuesday to musician Bob Dylan,
novelist Toni Mo...
Birth Certificate Whac-A-Mole
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Barack Obama's long-form birth certificate forgery contains so many
forger's errors that it would make for a fun parlor game.
Drachma!
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Drachma! May 29, 2012 David R. Kotok The drachma, the Greek currency
name, is over 3000 years old. It was the most widely circulated coin in
the world...
Gates of Vienna News Feed 5/29/2012
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[image: Gates of Vienna News Feed 5/29/2012]A tribal council in eastern
Afghanistan has condemned four women and two men to death for immoral
behavior. The...
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*Was Trayvon Martin High on 'Lean'?*
From the Ace of Spades blog:
Apparently 'lean' AKA DXM is the street term for using dextromethorphan (the
activ...
In God We Rust, All Others Pay Non-Voting Stock
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We're catching up on some DVR viewing. Tonight's episode was Lewis Black's *In
God We Rust*, which was released on St. Patrick's Day but taped back when
pe...
More Competition
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University of Michigan economist Miles Kimball is now blogging.
Incidentally, many years ago, Miles was my very first PhD dissertation
advisee.
Case-Shiller Seasonal Factors
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Economist Tom Lawler wrote today:
I put “seasonally” in quotes, as there have substantial changes in the
purported “seasonal” pattern of home prices since...
Why The ECB Will Print
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There is a lot of chatter about the eurozone, Greece, Spain, Germany, and
the European Central Bank (ECB). And rightly so since we appear to be
reaching ...
Daily Readings 05-29-2012
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What Germans Really Think About Greek Exit From Euro A poll conducted by
German broadcaster ZDF suggests that as many as 60% of German voters now
favor Gre...
Let Obama Be Obama
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*The New York Times*' big story today, detailing President Obama’s role in
the country’s counterterrorism efforts, should ignite a slow burn of new
cover...
Podcast is up: Pamela Geller on the Jaz Mckay Show
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In case you missed my segment with Jaz Mckay on the KNZR Talk radio earlier today, Puck has posted the podcast here. We love Puck! BTW, speaking of Puck, aka...
Strike Three!
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A $46 trillion problem comes sweeping in Bad stuff, they say, comes in
threes. We’ve already got the banking and the eurozone sovereign debt
crises. Next c...
Randy Wray: MMT Without the JG?
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*By L. Randall Wray, a Professor of Economics at the University of
Missouri-Kansas City and Senior Scholar at the Levy Economics Institute of
Bard College....
Liveblogging World War II: May 29, 1942
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Adolf Hitler: >Führer Directive 42: Instructions for operations against unoccupied France and the Iberian Peninsula (previously known as 'Attila' and 'Isabel...
Home Prices Hit New Lows for March 2012
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The March 2012 S&P Case Shiller home price index shows a -2.6% decline from
a year ago for over 20 metropolitan housing markets and a -2.8% decline for
t...
Live Long and Prosper – Nutraceutically
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More and more frequently, I’m finding “too good to be true” technologies
that are, in fact, very true. It is, I think, the hallmark of our era.
Things we t...
Count Palestine Refugees?
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The fetid, dark heart of the Arab war on Israel, I have long argued, lies
not in disputes over Jerusalem, checkpoints, or "settlements." Rather, it
concern...
Tracking Top Funds' Activity: Q1 2012
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In my last comment on hedge funds trading euro misery, promised to go over
the trading activity of top funds during Q1 2012. U.S. markets were closed
on Mo...
Twitter Digest: 2012-05-28
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Speaking of the USS Indianapolis, a decade-old Fresh Air segment with two
survivors of said tragedy – http://t.co/8uQS9Md6 -> So, eleven hundred men
went i...
Éric Zemmour - Question still unanswered
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*It still isn't clear if Eric Zemmour has been dismissed or not. As I said
in my previous post, the journal l'Express claims he was already told
several ...
Americans' Confidence Is Down. Why?
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A better question would be: why would consumer confidence be up? The
Conference Board said today that its index of consumer confidence fell to a
four-month...
How Bill Kristol Purged the Arabists
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Share...By Patrick J. Buchanan After taping John Stossel’s show on March 16
in New York, the Mrs. and I took the 10 a.m. Acela back to Washington. Once
we ...
Some Rays Of Sunshine For Homebuilders
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Last month I put up a post about the Phoenix housing market and what
appeared to be some revival of “animal spirits”. I was pretty tempered in
my enthusia...
The End Of The Euro: A Survivor’s Guide
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By Peter Boone and Simon Johnson In every economic crisis there comes a
moment of clarity. In Europe soon, millions of people will wake up to
realize that...
A very, very different America
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The year is 1924; the U.S. Congress has just passed the Johnson-Reed Act (Immigration Act of 1924) and the following quotas have been put into place to deter...
Private Equity Myth
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As many of you know, David Brooks is one of the few conservative columnists
that I regard highly. But occasionally he writes something that is so
boneheade...
Members of Congress exercise their muscle on TPP
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During the latest round of talks of the Trans-Pacific Partnerships (TPP) "free trade" agreement in Dallas, U.S. trade officials increased the use of heavy-ha...
Links: 2012 05 25
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Unfortunately I don't have the time to do a proper daily commentary. But
here are the links
------------------------------
Credit Writedowns Pro is live....
Fitch Donwgrades Japan
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Fitch lowered its assessment of Japan’s sovereign credit to A+, still
investment grade but just above countries like Spain and Italy.
The agency criticized...
JPMorgan and the Volcker Rule's Hedging Exemption
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In the wake of JPMorgan’s $2 billion trading loss, there’s been lots of
talk about whether “portfolio hedging” is allowed under the Volcker Rule,
and wheth...
I'll Have ANOTHER Open Forum
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On Saturday, I'll Have ANOTHER won the Preakness in Baltimore by a neck. Preakness is the second of three races that comprise the US Triple Crown. I'll Hav...
Ten links
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After the Third Way: The Future of Social Democracy in Europe, edited by
Olaf Cramme and Patrick Diamond Jane Waldfogel, “What the U.S. can learn
from Brit...
Familiarity Breeds Mad Cash Money
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Editor's Note--Hello friends! In the midst of all this Facebook love this a.m., we are focused on the real important things. Like the Preakness Stakes from B...
A Marshall Plan for Greece Makes Sense for Germany
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by David Attewell In 1949, Germany lay in utter ruin. World War II had
devastated its people and laid waste to much of the rest of Europe. The
temptation...
Moved Over
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I’ve been blogging away over at my new blog at Next New Deal, come join me
over there! Here’s the new rss feed. I might post here once in a great
while, m...
And Yet Another One Bites the Dust
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To all those who say that deflationary collapses cannot happen in paper
monetary systems, I ask you: don't the PIIGS-ies of Europe count? Because
they're...
Time to Head Home
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Tonight I am in Colorado after a nice Spring Break. Heading back to my home
in Utah is not exactly what I am looking forward to. Being away gave me a
cha...
New Look and Big Things to Come
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Later today -- thanks to the efforts of Mitch Green -- New Economic
Perspectives will have a fresh new look with features and extras that we
hope will make...
The Automatic Earth on the move
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At around 6 PM EST, Sunday, February 5, The Automatic Earth will move to
its new site, TheAutomaticEarth.org The Blogger site, where you are right
now, wil...
Those too astute to buy refute you.
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A brief dispatch from a pragmatic outpost on the outskirts of the
ideological empire.
Manufacture of contempt cause it's only a Great Depression if they s...
Market Montage Officially Launches Tomorrow
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Dear readers,
After a long period of introspection (nearly 3 minutes) I've decided to
follow the ideology of the boxing world and come out of retirement.
...
CAIR Uncovers BAHRAIN - Update
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While the government of Bahrain has apologized, sort-of, for oppressing
it's own people, CAIR stands alone in ignoring this. Below is the story
from th...
Occupy Wall Street - Marine vs 30 Cops
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Speaking of the police. Here is a link to a video of a soldier - in uniform
- protesting the treatment of demonstrators by the police.
http://perezhilton....
The Art of Suppression - Part III: The Good Guys Win
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It has been a long dark (pun intended) night for White folks, world-wide.
Our countries have been flooded-with alien non-Whites (who, as soon as they
land ...
The Inchoate Rage Beneath our Global Cities
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“London’s riots prompted commentators on the right to blame hooliganism,
while those on the left cited frustrations with the UK’s faltering economy
and fis...
Warren Buffett's Tarnished Halo
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As reputations go, Warren Buffett's was Teflon. Charlie Gasparino on how
his deputy's strange trading profits reveal the Oracle of Omaha
as-gasp!-another o...
Piece by Me on Forbes.com
-
Decided to try to get a bit more publicity for Post Keynesian ideas!
Forbes.com Nothing I haven’t said here before. It was very lucky in that
they were wil...
Now For The Bad News
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So Barry’s been taken down a peg or two. ‘Bout time. That’s cause enough
for celebration but the underlying picture remains bleak. Tens of millions
of peop...
Natural History of Fire & Flood Cycles
-
In reference to the analogies presented in my previous article, please have
a look at this article: Natural History of Fire & Flood Cycles While
reading it...
Why non-profit execs are not paid too much
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Anger over executive salaries is fast turning into a witch hunt. We’ve no
longer just down on financiers, but also on state employees, on teachers,
on just...
Lessons from the Crisis – John Mauldin
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John Mauldin describes why we should be concerned about Greece and
increasing debt. Link: What Does Greece Mean to You? It seems we did not
learn the lesso...
1930s Vs Today: Lots To Worry About
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I have written an article about the similarities between now and the great
depression, which I will post at a later date. However, for now, I just
noticed ...
The Might of Millions
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Do I want President Obama to fail? No. I want the country to succeed
despite his agenda. That’s the same wish I had when Bill Clinton was
President. I had ...
A devoted student of why nations and empires succeed or fail. In general, I believe in the following:
Sparta - not Athens;
Strength over Weakness;
National Competition and Supremacy in a dangerous world;
A couple of really great videos (Courtesy of Infectious Greed and YouTube) which really depict the crash as it unfolded.
The first is one of shameless shill and all-around investment Assclown Jim Cramer from CNBC.
How this guy (along with Dick Bove and Steve LIESman) manages to keep his job I don't know. Suffice it to say if you take Cramer's advice on anything at all you deserve what you have coming. Here's Jimbo:
The next is some "stocktrader guy" giving a "webinar" on day trading.
He's pretty full of himself at the beginning, apparently referring to a previous session where he was saying the market was overbought.
But as the market begins its freefall, he goes complete Dick Vitale or Walter Sobchak with self-congratulation.
Take a look:
Lessons for everyone out there:
1) Be careful about who you take trading or investment advice from. In most cases, you're better off doing it yourself if you can. If you can do your own research, and it makes sense to you, go with it. Before you invest, investigate - it's your money, therefore it's your responsibility. If you don't know how to trade or invest, take some classes and learn;
A fellow I know who has been hugely successful over the last three years didn't know anything about investments at all except that he was now laid off and had a 401(K) distribution and an IRA to tide him over.
Embittered by his treatment by Corporate America and distrustful of brokers and financial planners, he decided to do it himself - after he taught himself what he needed to know. So, he decided to get his securities license - just to acquire the knowledge he felt he needed to be successful managing his own money.
Today, as an independent proprietary trader, he's more than replaced his last full-time income and added to his trading capital besides. All this in a down market. He was one of my instructors in the trading course I just completed. And no, he's not some high-powered Harvard guy; he's the typical worker that Corporate America is busy "outsourcing" - his background is IT/Computer Science.
Moral: Learn how, do it yourself, get a comfort level, and trust your judgment;
2) If you don't understand a stock, a bond, or other security, stay away. Being still in learning mode, I stick with two basic trading models that almost anyone can understand with a five-minute explanation. I don't do options, futures or indexes - not that I don't know what they are, but I'm not yet sufficiently experienced or trained to work with them effectively.
This why Warren Buffet is so successful - you'll notice he stays away from anything that isn't traditional "plain vanilla" , that isn't superbly managed, and that he can't get at a great price.
But, you might say, doesn't he use derivatives, swaps, and other exotic things in his business? Sure he does - to protect his real positions in the real economy. Which is how they're supposed to be used. Remember, twenty years ago he bailed out a Wall Street casino - Salomon Bros - and he propped up another -The Squid - after beating them down for a below-market price and an above-market return.
As the world's second or third richest man, who got that way by taking only the most conservative of risks, I would say he knows what he's doing.
And all along, he's stayed with what he knows;
3) Trade or invest with the trend - not against it;
4) Use position sizing and risk limitations in terms of position size to apportion your portfolio. If you must use leverage, adjust your risk parameters accordingly. The more leverage (borrowed money), you use, the tighter your risk tolerance must be;
Bear in mind that Wall Street, before the crash, had extensively used leverage to expand , not reduce, the amount of risk they could take on;
5) Buy on rumor, sell on news. Buy when others are fearful, sell when others are greedy;
And finally, enjoy yourself - trading and investing, as a full time job, a supplement to retirement, or just as a hobby can be very rewarding.
And to my mind, reward comes in one color - Green.
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