Ten Economic Questions for 2025
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Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2024.
Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year
for 20 years!). These...
Rockefeller’s Legacy for The New American System
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This post Rockefeller’s Legacy for The New American System appeared first
on Daily Reckoning.
A scoundrel or a hero?
The post Rockefeller’s Legacy for T...
MiB: Dana Mattioli on Amazon’s Everything War
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This week, we speak with Dana Mattioli, who as Senior Enterprise
Technology Reporter for the Wall Street Journal covers Amazon. Her
investigations ...
The Only Jew in the Room
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After 24 years in the Israel Defense Forces, much of it focused on the West
Bank and Gaza, Lt. Col. (ret.) Avi Shalev, a Jew, made the unique decision
in h...
Understanding the Modern Monetary System – Updated!
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It’s been over 10 years since I published Understanding the Modern Monetary
System, one of the most widely read papers in the SSRN research database. I
pub...
A Few Quick Announcements
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By James As I wrote a couple of years ago, I don’t post here anymore. I
just have a couple of updates for people who subscribe and may be
interested in my ...
Putin’s ‘Winter War’ on Ukraine
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[image: Putin's 'Winter War' on Ukraine By Patrick Buchanan]In the final
days of this lame-duck Congress, before control of the House passes to
Republicans...
FTX and an old blog post
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A long time ago I wrote a blog post about rehypothecation with brokers. It
is - unsurprisingly - relevant again.
In some sense crypto provides fast-track...
Blog Post Title
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What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1)
gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert.
Use your...
Goodbye to Credit Writedowns
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Good morning everyone, I have some exciting — and also – sad news to tell
you today. First, I am going to Bloomberg as a Senior Editor. And I am
going to...
The Covid-19 Dominoes Fall: The World Is Insolvent
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To understand why the financial dominoes toppled by the Covid-19 pandemic
lead to global insolvency, let’s start with a household example. The point
of thi...
New Hedge Fund Newsletter Just Released
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The new Q4 issue of our hedge fund newsletter is now available. It reveals
the latest portfolios of 25 top hedge funds and also features summaries of
2 st...
The gulag that France has become
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*Here’s a powerful article from Robert Spencer, posted at Front Page
Magazine, that will, more than any other article I’ve read lately, provide
you with...
Do Higher Wages Mean Higher Standards of Living?
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Editor's note: We have updated macroblog's location on our website,
although archival posts will remain at their original location. Readers who
use RSS sho...
Happy New Year!
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2020 Year of ________? You'll have to go to the Speakeasy to read the New
Year's post, but here I'm giving you a twofer. The first was posted at the
Speake...
Big D Has Your Rivalries Right Here
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Editor's Note--Well that wasn't how we like it last week. 2-4. But this
week is rivalry week in the college where you throw out the records and
teams play ...
What’s the best type of healthcare system?
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If we’re going to improve our healthcare system, it’s worth looking closely
at the experiences of other rich democratic countries. There are two
principal ...
French Rescue Four Hostages Lose Two Soldiers
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Viva Liberty! French commandos rescued four foreign hostages including two
French citizens from a militant group in Burkina Faso, France's military
said on...
Gisellian demurrage currency
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Dr. Keen, I am wondering if you have ever seriously considered issuance of
Gisellian currency for countries facing unplayable debt (all of them, as
far as ...
The Foremost Problem Is Moving to Stormfront
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Good news. This blog is moving to Stormfront. The transition might take
several months. Current content will remain in place for historical
purposes for as...
Memories of a Friend
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It’s been 1 year since Oscar died, and I’ve been reluctant to write an
obituary for him because I didn’t think I could put into […]
The post Memories of ...
Daily Readings 01-27-2019
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IS BIG TECH MERGING WITH BIG BROTHER? KINDA LOOKS LIKE IT A FRIEND OF mine,
who runs a large television production company in the car-mad city of Los
Angel...
Since the U. S Knew Syria Had Chemical Weapons
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And since the U. S. knew where the chemical weapons were being made
And since the U. S. knew where the chemical weapons were being stored
*Why didn't the U...
The Market Ticker - The Pattern of The Market
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*Looks awfully similar to 2008.*
*Rotation back and forth, with most of the gains coming in a handful of big
names with big stories -- but no earnings to...
An inside peek at Silicon Valley for media leaders
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In recent years, I have conducted media-and-technology study tours in New
York, London and Silicon Valley for high-level publishing executives. This
year, ...
The End is Nigh
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Dear Reader,
It is over five years since I wrote the last published piece for this blog.
A lot has happened during that time: the unprecedented rioting in ...
New Book from John Weeks!
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My colleague John Weeks has just published a very relevant book laying bare
the logical and practical problems with economic policies informed by
mainstrea...
Gold Stocks - All Perspective Has Been Lost
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Many recent published commentaries appear to have lost perspective on the
now much-hated Gold stock sector. The fact of the matter is that,
technically, t...
Feeling sorry for the rats.
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'*What's in the box*?'
-David Mills, Se7en
'*And the eye-in the-sky is watching us all.*'
-Ace Rothstein, Casino
'*To be modern only means to fill new f...
Twitter Digest: 2013-06-09
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Given that I block NSA & PRISM tweets, was entertaining tuning into twitter
& trying to figure why everyone was on about Lord Snowdon -> Turned on GoT
toni...
College Graduates Are The New Debt Slaves
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With the average cost of attending college in America at $120,000, a family
of four should expect their children’s college to cost more than a home.
Yet...
Gates of Vienna Has Moved
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[image: Time to go!]After being taken down twice by Blogger within a single
week, we got the message:
*It’s Time To Go.*
Gates of Vienna has moved to...
Marc Faber: Germany Should Have Left The Euro
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On Bloomberg:
Remember: nothing has been fixed...
“If you put one or 100 sick banks in a union, it does not change the fact
that they're sick. In my vi...
Moved Over
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I’ve been blogging away over at my new blog at Next New Deal, come join me
over there! Here’s the new rss feed. I might post here once in a great
while, m...
The Automatic Earth on the move
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Purchase our new 2014 set of video downloads at TheAutomaticEarth.com At
around 6 PM EST, Sunday, February 5, 2012, The Automatic Earth has moved to
its ne...
Occupy Wall Street - Marine vs 30 Cops
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Speaking of the police. Here is a link to a video of a soldier - in uniform
- protesting the treatment of demonstrators by the police.
http://perezhilton....
We've Moved!
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If you're reading this, it means you've been following the
http://georgewashington2.blogspot.com address. We switched over to
WordPress, and from now on...
The Inchoate Rage Beneath our Global Cities
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“London’s riots prompted commentators on the right to blame hooliganism,
while those on the left cited frustrations with the UK’s faltering economy
and fis...
Natural History of Fire & Flood Cycles
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In reference to the analogies presented in my previous article, please have
a look at this article: Natural History of Fire & Flood Cycles While
reading it...
Why non-profit execs are not paid too much
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Anger over executive salaries is fast turning into a witch hunt. We’ve no
longer just down on financiers, but also on state employees, on teachers,
on just...
1930s Vs Today: Lots To Worry About
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I have written an article about the similarities between now and the great
depression, which I will post at a later date. However, for now, I just
noticed ...
A devoted student of why nations and empires succeed or fail. In general, I believe in the following:
Sparta - not Athens;
Strength over Weakness;
National Competition and Supremacy in a dangerous world;
A relatively obscure economic concept has recently come to the fore in the national economic dialogue.
That concept is Rent-Seeking.
As defined in Wikipedia and The Dictionary of Economics, rent-seeking is defined as the extraction of unearned value from economic transactions by manipulation of the economic environment, rather than by earning profits through economic transactions and the creation of added wealth.
And there are different types of rent-seeking behavior - direct rent-seeking, which is an attempt to gain monopoly or oligopoly control of a scarce resource, or collusion by market players to control a market by rigging prices, allocating market shares, and restricting output.
And then there's indirect rent-seeking - the pursuit of above market returns through control of a legislative or regulatory process, where the "rent" extracted is in the form of either regulatory barriers to market entry or tariffs, tax breaks or subsidies not generally available to those outside the favored group or class.
Of the two, the latter is by far the more dangerous, as it implies control of legislative or regulatory processes to extract "rents" from the public at large and funnel them to the favored recipients.
And, according to classical economic theory, when rent-seeking exists in a market, more and more players abandon profit-seeking for the greater returns of rent-seeking. Ultimately, this causes a fall in output and productivity, as not all players can become rent-seekers and those who remain choose to withdraw from from the market rather than see their profits reduced by rent extraction.
And where do we see an example of all of these economic pathologies simultaneously?
In Unionized Public Sector Employment.
To begin with, access to public employment is tightly controlled, both formally and informally. Not only does the prospective public employee have to jump through many bureaucratic and regulatory hoops, but often the only path to public employment is through an "informal" connection to either an elected official or family members already on the "inside". Further, public employment is a monopoly, for which no corresponding demand exists in the "private" marketplace.
And do Public Employees extract "rents" from the public at large? In spades. Through unionized collective bargaining and campaign contributions to the politicians who set the wage and benefit scales, the wage and benefit "rent premium" extracted by public employees have risen in some cases to over 30% compared to similar private sector employment.
And, as would be predicted by economic theory, more and more people are seeking employment in the Public Sector than in the private marketplace. According to the Heritage Foundation, while the US private sector produced NO net new jobs over the last ten years, total government employment has risen by over 17%. And the Obama "economic stimulus" plan, has, as predicted, resulted in both more government employment (more rent seekers), and less employment in the private sector (fewer profit seekers).
But now, a tipping point may have been reached. As more and more private profit-seekers leave the market, either through outsourcing to other countries (avoiding the rent-seekers), or withdrawing from the market altogether ( refusal to pay "rents"), economic output (upon which the rent-seekers depend), is falling.
And, in response, the politicians, who enabled the problem in the first place, are now having to make some awful choices - namely, which rent-seekers will be thrown off the gravy train?
If you follow the news, the talk in statehouses and city halls all across the nation is about wage and benefit cuts, givebacks, renegotiations, and even permanent layoffs, furloughs, and terminations. And sooner rather than later, the federal government will have to follow suit.
And this was all perfectly predictable.
In economic terms, once the aggregate amount of extracted rents exceeds the amount of profit that could be produced by the non-rent-seeking sector at any given level of output, the whole scheme collapses.
And, in many parts of the country, we are now literally at that point.
The following video sums it up quite nicely (h/t Mish's Global Economic Analysis)
And then there's indirect rent-seeking - the pursuit of above market returns through control of a legislative or regulatory process, where the "rent" extracted is in the form of either regulatory barriers to market entry or tariffs, tax breaks or subsidies not generally available to those outside the favored group or class.
I am in favor of the previous paragraph in terms of giving liberals aka Obama supporters jobs. if not jobs just a bunch of money. conservatives/gop/teabag types need to be deprived of opportunity, jobs, and money. For the most patriotic of reasons because they are a threat to the country, they almost destroyed the country during the bush years, and now they are almost derailing hope and change. The action against the Hutaree militia was a hopeful one, but it isn't enough. Especially when the president himself spoke too cautiously about the tea bag movement, refusing to call them out for the traitors that they are.
We need government spending, and lots of it, because the private sector- mostly corporations, Wall Street, The Fed, and the banks almost destroyed the economy and have revealed themselves to be a failure. The deficit is a prickly issue but cutting the deficit to the Clinton levels is an achievable goal- but the teabaggers continually inflate the issue to unrealistic levels in order to push a far right fascist agenda.
Public sector unions and influence will decline when unions put themselves solely in the private sector. Workers striking from government jobs to demand more pay and benefits is unpatriotic, especially during these times when government is creating plenty of jobs and generous pay and benefits. Tax money needn't pay for a single government job or benefit, simply print the money and problem solved. Forget inflation- that problem is also inflated by fascists in order to push an extreme agenda.
Obama must give us Hope and Change! Push Harder! Marginalize Republicans!
And then there's indirect rent-seeking - the pursuit of above
ReplyDeletemarket returns through control of a legislative or regulatory
process, where the "rent" extracted is in the form of either
regulatory barriers to market entry or tariffs, tax breaks or
subsidies not generally available to those outside the favored
group or class.
I am in favor of the previous paragraph in terms of giving liberals aka Obama supporters jobs. if not jobs just a bunch of money. conservatives/gop/teabag types need to be deprived of opportunity, jobs, and money. For the most patriotic of reasons because they are a threat to the country, they almost destroyed the country during the bush years, and now they are almost derailing hope and change. The action against the Hutaree militia was a hopeful one, but it isn't enough. Especially when the president himself spoke too cautiously about the tea bag movement, refusing to call them out for the traitors that they are.
We need government spending, and lots of it, because the private sector- mostly corporations, Wall Street, The Fed, and the banks almost destroyed the economy and have revealed themselves to be a failure. The deficit is a prickly issue but cutting the deficit to the Clinton levels is an achievable goal- but the teabaggers continually inflate the issue to unrealistic levels in order to push a far right fascist agenda.
Public sector unions and influence will decline when unions put themselves solely in the private sector. Workers striking from government jobs to demand more pay and benefits is unpatriotic, especially during these times when government is creating plenty of jobs and generous pay and benefits. Tax money needn't pay for a single government job or benefit, simply print the money and problem solved. Forget inflation- that problem is also inflated by fascists in order to push an extreme agenda.
Obama must give us Hope and Change! Push Harder! Marginalize Republicans!